Saturday, June 16, 2012

Euro 2012 Diary, Day 9 - Win or Stay Home

We've reached Matchday 3 of the Group Stage, which means two teams won't be part of Euro 2012 anymore by this evening. If we're lucky, as fans, our Polish co-hosts won't be joining that group today.

I forget which ESPN commentator it was yesterday who said that the atmosphere around a big tournament finals like this always benefits the longer a host nation stays involved.  I agree that it just seems to engage the neutral fans in every crowd a little more.  After all, they're not just watching, they're scouting!

Sadly, I think Ukraine had their moment in the tournament in Match 1, and I don't see them advancing from Group D. That leaves it to Poland to represent for the hosts and keep that special buzz going for at least a few more days.

There are all kinds of hypotheticals inside of scenarios wrapped up with permutations of what can happen in Group A today.  All four teams are alive, and some even have hopes of advancing with just a draw, but everyone will be playing to win.  If everyone's got a chance to advance, that means everyone's got a chance to be eliminated, too.

I really don't know what will happen in the Russia/Greece match.  Russia should win based on form from the first two games, but history has shown the folly of betting against the Greeks in a Euro.  I'll take Russia but not without reservations...I am fully back in the "Arshavin is Awesome" camp, but I don't know if his teammates will continue playing so well.

Poland probably shouldn't be able to beat the Czechs, they have inferior talent and the Czechs looked like a completely different, much better team in Match 2 compared to Match 1.  It's no stretch to assume them playing their best game so far against the hosts.

But I think we'll see a bit of magic today, with Poland winning their way to survival. I'm tipping Szczesny for a huge bounceback effort, a clean sheet, and elevation to national hero status.



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